Category Archives: Player Analysis

(Not) My guys: 2014 Overvalued

Yesterday I made a post on the players I am most aggressive on with respect to the FantasyPros ECR. This is the list of players I am most cautious on.

*Please note that the blurbs following each player listed are more or less notes on the player, not the entire foundation upon which my projections are built.

1. Wil Myers: My rank 80/ECR: 55 – Plenty of talent, but Myers’ strikeout issues could cap his batting average upside.

2. Yoenis Cespedes: My rank: 98/ECR: 62 – Pop up issues, high fly ball rate, K% spike all indicate a low baseline batting average. Read the rest of this entry

My guys: 2014 Values

I know this is probably  a little late for most drafts, but I wanted to make a post or two sharing the guys that I am most aggressive on and most cautious on this year (with respect to the FantasyPros ECR). I will start with the list of players I am most aggressive on first.

*Please note that the blurbs following each player listed are more or less notes on the player, not the entire foundation upon which my projections are built.

1. Ryan Braun: My rank: 5/ECR: 30 – This was surprising…Ryan Braun has been so good over the past few years that even if he produced just 85-90% of what he did pre-suspension, he is still a top-10 player.

2. Jean Segura: My rank: 19/ECR: 46 – Perhaps others are invoking the poor second half fallacy. I am not sure. The shoulder could be an issue, but my ranking assumed that he was healthy heading into opening day. A good candidate for 90/10/55/40/.290. Read the rest of this entry

My Picks (Catcher): Wilin Rosario

My catcher rankings didn’t deviate too much from the consensus ranking, but I am clearly more bullish on Wilin Rosario than the majority of writers.

My rank: 2/Consensus rank: 5

Last year Rosario finished as the second most valuable catcher according to my valuation method and he did it in just 466 plate appearances. He was the most valuable catcher on a per 500 plate appearance scale by more than a full roto point over the next catcher with at least 300 PAs. Of course you don’t win leagues by paying for last year’s stats, but there is plenty to like about Wilin heading into 2014. Read the rest of this entry